Thursday, October 22, 2009

Who would be better with the budget? If ad spending vs. votes Daggett is best by a mile.

Who would be better with the budget? If ad spending vs. votes Daggett is best by a mile.

Let’s trust the latest Rutgers-Eagleton Poll in the New Jersey Gubernatorial electiuon is correct. It shows incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine at 39%, Republican challenger Chris Christie at 36% and Independent Chris Daggett at 20%.

Let’s also trust a graphic in the Wall Street Journal sourced from TNS Media Intelligence/CMAG is correct on television ad spending. Governor Jon Corzine has spend $17.2 million, Chris Christie has spent $14.2 (Christie number includes $5.2 million from the Republican Governor’s Association), and Independent Chris Daggett has spent $300,000.

Let’s do a little division. What candidate is getting the best bang for the buck?
Corzine: $441,026 for every one percent of the vote.
Christie: $394.444 for every one percent of the vote.
Daggett: $15,000 for every one percent of the vote.

If Daggett can be this effective for getting votes for that little of amount of money, what could he do with the state budget?

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Congrats to MSNBC ‘s First Read…

Today’s “First Read” political column on MSNBC.com focused only on two issues. Both of them strongly focused on Third Party or Independent candidates. We are the third are very happy to see the national media take a close look at candidates without a “D” or “R” next to their name.

The first half of the column mentions the New Jersey Gubernatorial race noting, “independent Chris Daggett continuing to surge” after reaching 20% in a recent poll.

The back half of the column looked at New York’s special election in the 23rd Congressional District. It talked about Ken Blackwell’s backing of Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman. Blackwell is a fellow on the Family Research Council fellow and a member of the Club for Growth board of directors. The Hoffman portion of the column also mentions Hoffman’s appearance on the Glenn Beck radio show and television show.

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Who is that on your heals? It’s Chris Daggett!

Who is that on your heals? It’s Chris Daggett! NJ.com reprinted a Associated Press article on the new Rutgers-Eagleton Poll showing another surge for Independent Gubernatorial Candidate Chris Daggett. The polls showed incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine at 39%, Republican challenger Chris Christie at 36% and Independent Chris Daggett at 20%. That means five percent of people of are still either undecided or voting for another candidate.

That is a six percent jump for Daggett over the Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll. It appears at this point it appears the rallying cry of Chirs Christie “A vote for Daggett is a vote for Corzine” may be turned around to “A vote for Christie is a vote for Corzine”.

The biggest issues is that it appears about 40% of New Jersey voters lack the ability to vote for anybody other than a Democrat. If Cozine falls to 35% in polling, Daggett very likely will win.

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Daggett needs a feather boa, his polling numbers look like Ventura’s…

Independent New Jersey Gubernatorial candidate Chris Daggett needs a feather boa, his polling numbers look like former Minnsota Governor Jesse Ventura’s numbers. That’s the take from Aaron Blake writing on TheHill.com.

Blake writes, “New polling shows the independent New Jersey Governor candidate is about where former Minnesota Gov. Jesse Ventura (I) was at this point in his 1998 race…

Blakes cites a Rutgers/Eagleton poll that has Chris Daggett polling at 20 percent, which is his best showing yet. Blake writes, “By comparison, Ventura's initial bump in polling registered in a Minneapolis Star Tribune poll conducted Oc.t 15-18, which showed him at 21 percent.”
To throw a little water on the fire, Blake writes Daggett has to close a 5% larger gap than Ventura. But, the votes are not cast yet.

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Independent candidate for Massachusetts Governor starts to define himself…

Independent candidate for Massachusetts Governor starts to define himself according to an article posted on PatriotLedger.com written by Jon Chesto. Chesto writes Tim Cahill is trying to define himself as, “A former entrepreneur who understands the needs of small businesses. A fiscal conservative who sounded the warning of a pending crash in state revenues. A steely administrator who is willing to make the tough decisions”

Cahill is the Massachusetts State Treasurer. He spoke at South Shore Chamber of Commerce breakfast. Chesto wrote, “Cahill touched on most of these elements before, including his concern that a significant portion of the state’s current spending level relies on the state’s diminished rainy day fund and short-term federal stimulus funds.”

Cahill who was elected to the Massachusetts State Treasurer’s office as a Democrat is running for Governor as an independent candidate.

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Scozzafava: After the wheels come off a campaign, what comes off next?

After the wheels come of a campaign, what comes off next? Republican liberal-leaning candidate Dede Scozzafava held a news conference calling for more debates in the New York 23rd Congressional District special election.

While the words Assembywoman Dede Scozzafava were fine, the picture speaks a thousand words. In the video posted on YouTube, we clearly saw nine campaign signs for Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman being held by Hoffman supporters.

There was only one Scozzafava supporter clearly shown in the video (we assume Assembywoman Scozzafava will still vote for herself).

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Talk-radio paying attention to Third Party candidate in NY Special election…

Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman is getting attention from major conservative talk radio. On Wednesday the candidate in New York's 23rd Congressional District special election made an appearance on the Glenn Beck radio show, was mentioned on Rush Limbaugh’s show, and was Mark Levin’s show.

Hoffman will appear on Glenn Beck’s television show on Thursday, October 22, 2009.

This could mean a big increase in fundraising over the last stretch of the campaign.

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Rhode Island third party growing its grassroots…

A Rhode Island third party growing its grassroots. Ian Donnis writes on WRNI.com, “The Moderate Party of Rhode Island… (formed) 17 Moderate Party Town Committees.” Donnis explains the party focus on, “the Four E's- Economy, Education, Ethics, and Environment.

The article quoted the Executive Director of the Moderate Party of Rhode Island Christine Hunsinger, "We're excited to have these committees up and running… (they are) an essential part of our organization when it comes to fundraising and getting our message out.”

Even more committees are expected to be announced by the end of November.

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