Before GOP drop-out, Third Party candidate nearly had a majority of votes…

Before GOP drop-out, Third Party candidate Doug Hoffman nearly had a majority of votes in the New York 23rd Congressional District special election.

Tom Jensen at Public Policy Polling say they showed Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman crushing the competition with a 45-26-17 lead over Democrat Bill Owens and Republican Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava.

Now that Assemblywoman Scozzafava is out of the race Jensen writes on Public Policy Polling’s blog, "I expect Hoffman will win easily now, but if our early numbers were any indication what Scozzafava did doesn't make much difference- he was going to win easily with or without her in the race."

Assemblywoman Scozzafava suspended her campaign late Saturday morning after new polling data showed she was getting crushed in the race and had very little hope of winning the election. We are guessing the Assemblywoman saw numbers similar to what Public Policy Polling found and realized she had to drop-out to have any way to save face and possibly run for office again in the future.

SOURCE:

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/10/ny-23-polling-odyssey.html

Three is a crowd in New Jersey…

Three is a crowd in New Jersey according to Public Policy Polling. Their latest poll in New Jersey shows Independent candidate Chris Daggett getting 13% of the vote.

When you dig deeper into the poll only 47% of Daggett’s 13% said they are absolutely going to vote for him on election day; that would still be better than five percent. If either one of the “major” candidates could add five percent to their vote total they would likely win.

Public Policy Polling says Daggett is likely hurting Republican Chris Christie more than Democrat incumbent Governor Jon Corzine.

SOURCE:

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/09/daggett-effect.html