Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Possible independent candidate for Governor in Nevada polling near 30%…

Possible Independent candidate for Governor of Nevada Oscar Goodman is polling near 30%. A new Nevada News Bureau poll shows Republican Brian Sandoval getting 35%, Las Vegas Mayor and possible independent candidate Oscar Goodman at 28% and Democrat Rory Reid getting 21%.

Mayor Goodman, who is a Democrat, has toyed with the idea of running for Governor as an independent candidate. Goodman would have to change his voter registration by the end of December to run as an Independent.

The Thirds sees three hidden stories in this poll.
First: The poll has a +/-5% margin of error which means Goodman could have the lead, but likely not.
Second: The polls results showed 16% preferring some other candidate, who is that other candidate?
Third: Mayor Goodman polled at only 8% in Washoe County which is in the northern part of the state, Goodman is the mayor of Las Vegas in the south of the state. This means that Goodman would likely see positive voting trends in the northern half of the state pulling him closer to the leader Sandoval.


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