Quinnipiac University released a new poll on the New Jersey Gubernatorial race. Independent challenger Chris Daggett came in with 14% of the vote. The poll showed Republican challenger Christopher Christie getting 41% of likely voters, with 40% choosing Democratic incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine.
The poll surveyed 1,264 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points making it likely one of the more accurate polls taken so far, but there is still on big factor that could skew this poll. The New Jersey Star-Ledger endorsed Chris Daggett on October 9th, the poll was taken from October 7 – 12.
So what can we learn from this poll? In every Quinnipiac poll Daggett’s votes have gone up, but is he running out of time? Daggett’s voter lean slightly to Chris Christie as a second choice, but only by a 40-33 margin.
The poll shows that 73% of likely voters have not heard enough about Daggett to form an opinion, that number is sure to shrink. Where will those voters go?
The biggest negative for Daggett is that voters believe he “Can't win/Spoiler”. If Daggett can get people to believe, his biggest negative goes away, and he become much more relevant and viable.