Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman tied for the lead in New York’s Special Election in the 23rd Congressional District.
A Daily Kos poll of likely voters shows Doug Hoffman tied with Democrat Bill Owens for a lead in the race. The poll shows Bill Owesn at 33% and Doug Hoffman at 32%. Liberal-leaning Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava is well behind at 21%.
The biggest take away from this is that 12% of Republicans are still undecided and 14% of Independents are still undecided. Republicans and Independents are both breaking for Hoffman, also only Hoffman has a clear advantage in favorability rating from Republicans and Independents. Even if all of undecided Democrats break for Owens, Hoffman can win if a majority of Republicans and Independents break for him.