Tuesday, October 13, 2009

President may campaign in two races with strong third party candidates…

ABC News’s Jake Tapper tweeted out today that some time may be carved out in President Obama’s schedule and may campaign in New Jersey and New York.

Our take, it's likely if the President goes into "campaign mode" in those states he would focus on the New Jersey Gubernatorial race, and the special election in New York’s 23rd Congressional District.

In the New Jersey race, independent candidate Chris Daggett is polling in the teens and by all accounts gaining ground. In the New York special election, Doug Hoffman is running as the Conservative Party candidate and showing-up in the high teens or low twenties in polling.

If President Obama can rally Democrats in those areas, victory is very possible for the Democrats in New York’s 23rd Congressional District and New Jersey.

There is also a mayoral race in New York that the President has lent some support towards the Democratic candidate. It is not likely the President will give much time to this race physically unless the Democratic challenger New York City Comptroller Bill Thompson whips-up on Independent Mayor Michael Bloomberg in this week's debate. Mayor Bloomberg has supported a number of President Obama's policies and is enjoying a nearly 20-point lead in recent polling.

NOTE: Thank you to Jake Tapper for the clarification tweets.


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